Background and aim of the study: Aortic valve calcification may be an independent risk factor for adverse clinical outcome. The study aim was to assess the predictive value of possible risk factors, including the severity of aortic valve calcification as quantified with 16-multislice computed tomography (MSCT) for adverse short-term clinical outcome in patients with asymptomatic, degenerative aortic stenosis (AS).
Methods: Possible risk factors for adverse short-term clinical outcome were prospectively tested in 34 consecutive patients with asymptomatic AS as follows: (i) aortic valve calcium (AVC) score as quantified with MSCT; (ii) echocardiographic parameters - aortic valve area (AVA) calculated with continuity equation, mean and maximal transvalvular pressure gradients, end-diastolic septal wall diameter; and (iii) laboratory tests (brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), C-reactive protein (CRP)).
Results: Within 18-24 months of follow up, 11 of 34 patients developed a major adverse clinical outcome. Ten patients suffered from onset of symptoms accompanied by hemodynamic progression, and one

patient died from sudden cardiac death. Six of these 10 patients underwent aortic valve replacement, one patient declined surgery, and three patients were not accepted for surgery (one of these died suddenly shortly afterwards). The aortic valve calcium score was the strongest predictor of a major adverse clinical event (p <0.001) among all parameters assessed (1,928 ± 789 versus 5,111 ± 2,409 Agatston units). The plasma level of BNP (p = 0.003), mean transvalvular pressure gradient (p = 0.002) and AVA (p = 0.003) were also risk factors for adverse clinical outcome.
Conclusion: The AVC score as quantified with MSCT predicted adverse short-term clinical outcome in patients with asymptomatic AS. In patients with severe aortic valve calcification, close follow up examinations are mandatory, and early elective surgery may be considered even in the absence of symptoms. MSCT provides a comprehensive non-invasive imaging approach for risk stratification in patients with asymptomatic AS.

The Journal of Heart Valve Disease 2006;15:494-498